# Questions tagged [probability-theory]

Questions about the branch of mathematics concerned with modelling and analysing random phenomena.

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### Choosing a subset of binary variables to maximize the sum of the highest $K$

Consider the following problem: Input: integers $n > m > k$; $n$ numbers $0 \leq p_1, \ldots, p_n \leq 1$; $n$ numbers $r_1, \ldots, r_n$ where ($r_i \geq 0$). Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be $n$ ...
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### Alternative to Bloom filter for extreme parameters

A Bloom filter is a space-efficient probabilistic data structure to perform membership-tests on a set (see Wikipedia's page for a definition; I use the same notations below). I am interested in a ...
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### Compute the expected size of an approximation of vertex cover

Consider the following randomized approximation algorithm of vertex cover: Input: A graph G = (V, E). Output: A set $C_G \subseteq V$ a vertex cover of $G$. The algorithm: Set $C_G := \emptyset$. ...
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### Correctness of a greedy Algorithm on Knockout Tournaments

You are given a function $\operatorname{rk}:\{1\dots 2^k\}\rightarrow \mathbb{N^+}$ representing the ranks of the players $1\dots2^k$ in a participating in a tournament. The tournament evolves in a ...
58 views

### Understanding simulated annealing information theoretically

So I recently rediscovered simulated annealing though a path that others seem to be well aware of. I was aware of Metropolis-Hastings as a sampling algorithm that creates a Markov-Chain who's ...
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### Peculiar MCMC sampling problem

I have two random variables, X and Y, and Y is a positive real number. I can sample from $p(y|x)$, but I need to sample from $p(x)$, which I know to be proportional to $\frac 1 {E[y|x]}$. I could ...
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### Algorithm to mapping given probabilities to empirical probabilities

Consider following problem statement: You have given $n$ actions. You can perform any of them. Each action gives you success with some probability. The challenge is to perform given finite number of ...
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### Count subset divisible by 3

I'm trying to solve this puzzle but I get stuck. I thought about trying to use the law of total probability to solve intermediate problems with subset of size $k$ but it didn't helped me that much. Is ...
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### Show that if $\mathcal{H}$ is PAC learnable in the standard one-oracle model, then $\mathcal{H}$ is PAC learnable in the two-oracle model

This is a question $9.1$ from Understanding Machine Learning Chapter 3. It goes like this: Consider a variant of the PAC model in which there are two example oracles: one that generates positive ...
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### Calculate the probability of undetected errors for the whole file (not packets) in the CRCs

If we have a large file, I want to know how this will affect the probability of undetected errors, especially in CRCs. I know that undetected error rate (packet or chunk) is BitR * BER * 0.5k where k ...
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### How to estimate the number of elements inserted to a Bloom filter

A Bloom filter is a probabilistic data structure that allows encoding sets with false positives. Parameterized by the number of bits $m$ in the array $A$ (initialized to zeros), and number of hash ...
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### Variance of chain length in hashtable

I have a hashtable with length $m$. Initially it's empty. Next, $n/2$ unique random numbers $\in [0, n]$ are added to it. What would be variance of chain length when such $n/2$ numbers are being added ...
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### Channel coding and Error probability. Where are these probabilities from?

From where are the following probabilities? We consider BSCε with ε = 0,1 and block code C = {c1, c2} with the code words c1 = 010 and c2 = 101. On the received word y we use the decoder D = {D1,D2} ...
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### Calculate probability in graphical model

I have the following graphical model, in which I wish to compute $p(Intelligence = 1|Letter = 1, SAT = 1)$ But I'm not sure how to rewrite $p(Intelligence = 1|Letter = 1, SAT = 1)$? I was told to ...
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### Calculate expected values of “Craps Game” with the help of Prism Model Checker

I have modelled the craps game (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Craps#Rules_of_play) as a dtmc with the prism model checker: ...
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### Approximate conditional entropy

Given a set of random variables $X = \{x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n\}$. If the conditional entropy for all $Y \subset X - \{X_i\}$ where $|Y| \leq 5$. How to approximate conditional entropy when $|Y| = 10$ ...
I have the following model: Let's say two indepentent weighted six-sided dice $X$ and $Y$ with unknown probabilities (i.e. probability of 1 is unkown etc) and they have not necessarily the same ...